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Presentations & Documents - 2015
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Conference Presentations - Gold Coast, 15 to 17 May 2015
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Mathew Verdouw - Cycle Identification, Inter-Market Principles and Relative Strength
Mathew Verdouw - Cycle Identification, Inter-Market Principles and Relative Strength

No market should be viewed in isolation. Just as a single stock is affected by the stock market, so is the stock market by every other asset class. In this presentation, Mathew will explain some of the key things that we need to watch from an Inter-Market perspective and reveal how Relative Strength can be used to help in the identification of where we are in the cycle. Finally, Mathew will bring it all back to a portfolio level to show how professionals in Wall Street are using these types of techniques and the lessons that every private trader can take away.


150517_2015 Conference - Verdouw, Mathew

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Rande Howell - Developing the Emotional Skills to Maintain Interior Discipline
Rande Howell - Developing the Emotional Skills to Maintain Interior Discipline

This presentation moves from the theory of Emotional Intelligence applied to trading, and teaches practical skills that can be used to manage your emotions in real-time performance. You will learn emotional regulation skills that will show you how to manage the intensity of an emotion rather than be swept away by it. You will also learn Mindfulness Skills that will allow you to have more control over the quality of the self-talk occurring in your mind as you trade. And you will learn how to access powerful tools for replacing a fearful and over-confident mind with patience, discipline, and impartiality.


150517_2015 Conference - Howell, Rande

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Andrew Gibbs - Systems Trading with Fundamental and Technical Analysis
Andrew Gibbs - Systems Trading with Fundamental and Technical Analysis

Achieving consistency in trading is an elusive goal targeted by all traders. Andrew will show that by combining different types of strategies for both equities and futures markets there is potential to improve overall trading consistency and performance. Using concepts taken from the funds management industry this presentation will outline ideas on how to combine both fundamental and technical analysis into a fully mechanical trading approach. The presentation will also cover what to do in crash years and will introduce short term futures trading concepts that can be used to offset stock market losses in volatile periods.


150517_2015 Conference - Gibbs, Andrew

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Cesar Alvarez - Internet Article to Trading Strategy: ETF Monthly Rotation Strategy
Cesar Alvarez - Internet Article to Trading Strategy: ETF Monthly Rotation Strategy

Cesar will walk through the quantitative process he uses when he finds interesting research on the internet that he wants to develop for his own trading. He will go through the process of first verifying that the original idea has merit and promise of meeting his goals. Then, he will show how to add and build on the concept. He will point out potential pitfalls of the strategy and how to deal with them. Focus will be spent on 2008 to see how the strategy dealt with the Bear market. Along the way he will be asking for audience ideas that he will test on the spot and share those results.


150517_2015 Conference - Alvarez, Cesar

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Jordan Eliseo - Bubbles and Bargains in Financial Markets and Beyond
Jordan Eliseo - Bubbles and Bargains in Financial Markets and Beyond

Six years after the GFC hit, markets appear at an inflection point. Equities have recovered all of their losses, whilst the bond market continues it’s role as a “widow-maker”. But an investor cannot make yesterday’s return today. To protect and grow capital in the years ahead, investors will need to avoid bubbles, no easy feat in a zero-interest rate world. This talk will highlight where the potential bubbles are, as well as the pockets of opportunity that exist in investment markets today.


150517_2015 Conference - Eliseo, Jordan

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Daryl Guppy - Impact of China Markets
Daryl Guppy - Impact of China Markets

Direct trading on the 7 trillion dollar China market Shanghai Exchange is now possible and provides a way to get direct access to the Chinese companies that are the driving force behind many Australian projects. Learn the technical analysis trading and investment solutions. Examine the impact of this market opening on liquidity in the Australian market and the region. Fund managers and traders cannot afford to ignore this colossus. Guppy has been trading and working in this market for more than a decade. This is fertile ground for bull and bear bubbles with strongly divided opinions.


150516_2015 Conference - Guppy, Daryl

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Tim Walker - Markets through the Eyes of WD Gann
Tim Walker - Markets through the Eyes of WD Gann

Many traders have heard of William Delbert (WD) Gann, but not many comprehend his methods. He believed that everything in the world is governed by scientific laws, and that the stock and commodity markets were no exceptions. He set out to discover the mathematical relationships between price movements in markets. In essence, his techniques are not difficult to understand, and will prove valuable to any trader who cares to add them to their toolkit. He demonstrated that there is a rhythm to market moves, not only in terms of price but also in the time taken for these moves to be made. This presentation will illustrate these on a few current markets.


150516_2015 Conference - Walker, Tim

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Vito Henjoto - Rest of 2015, A Market Perspective through Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
Vito Henjoto - Rest of 2015, A Market Perspective through Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

With the Bull Run in 2014, 2015 will likely be a year where most traders tread cautiously. Vito Henjoto will go through the tools he uses to identify key levels for major currencies and indices, at the same time providing these levels with analysis to back up his views on what will be in store for the second half of 2015. A great opportunity to learn how to quickly scan the market for potential changes in the market using extremely simple trading tools.


150516_2015 Conference - Henjoto, Vito

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Cesar Alvarez - The Development of an S&P500 Stock Weekly Rotation Strategy
Cesar Alvarez - The Development of an S&P500 Stock Weekly Rotation Strategy

Cesar will walk through the quantitative process he uses while creating a strategy from beginning to end. He will explore various methods of determining when a stock is sold off, still in an up-trend, and statistics to determine if a strategy is worthwhile. He will also explore ways to deal with Bear markets and how to take advantage of them. Along the way he will point out common testing pitfalls. He will also be asking for audience ideas that he can test and share at his next presentation.


150516_2015 Conference - Alvarez, Cesar

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Tim Walker - Bubbles and Busts, Chaos or opportunity?
Tim Walker - Bubbles and Busts, Chaos or opportunity?

Human nature tends to swing between extremes of optimism and pessimism. Periodically, this reflects in the markets, and massive booms are followed by equally massive busts. Human nature does not change, and so we can be certain that they will continue to occur in the future. But are these phenomena random and unpredictable, or do they exhibit certain characteristics? If they do, can we study these characteristics and learn to identify them as they are unfolding? This will enable us not only to avoid disaster, but even to profit from them. We are told to “know thine enemy”, and this knowledge will overcome fear and turn it into opportunity.


150515_2015 Conference - Walker, Tim

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Nick Radge - Using Elliott Wave to track Dramatic Market Movements
Nick Radge - Using Elliott Wave to track Dramatic Market Movements

Combining Elliott Wave theory and traditional technical analysis can help investors understand the current state of the market and how the market’s next phase is potentially unfolding. In this discussion, Nick Radge will show how he was able to call the top in 2007 and (almost) the exact low in 2009. We’ll also discuss the bigger picture for the Australian market and how patterns today are unfolding within the pattern progression of the last 30 years.


150515_2015 Conference - Radge, Nick

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Rande Howell - Emotional Intelligence: Mastering the Emotions of Performance
Rande Howell - Emotional Intelligence: Mastering the Emotions of Performance

Once the trader has learned the mechanics of how to trade, the gap in performance between struggling traders, adequate traders, and highly effective traders is their emotional intelligence. Highly effective traders know how to use their emotions to create a calm disciplined mind that can make confident decisions under the combined pressures of uncertainty and the need for performance. In this presentation you will learn a very different way of understanding how emotions work to create the mind and state of mind for trading.


150515_2015 Conference - Howell, Rande

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Daryl Guppy - FX Trading for Equity Traders
Daryl Guppy - FX Trading for Equity Traders

The FX market is the most liquid market in the world. The skills and analysis methods applied to the equity market have to be adjusted to survive trading the FX market. Guppy introduces the ANTSSYS trading method. This brings together 4 elements: RANGE BARS; SUPER GUPPY; RANGE ATR and the ANTS indicator signals. The combination is a conceptual breakthrough. The use of the ANTS entry and exit signals provides a practical application of the concept for FX, Index and Commodity trading. These methods reflect our understanding of these markets and the way we prefer to manage risk.


150515_2015 Conference - Guppy, Daryl

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Alan Clement - Best Tools for the Job - A Quantitative Approach to Seeking Alpha
Alan Clement - Best Tools for the Job - A Quantitative Approach to Seeking Alpha

The goal of all traders and investors is to find the best set of technical tools that allow the optimal entry and exit from a market to take full advantage of bull runs and avoid bear markets. Alan will first pick apart some of the more popular entries and exits to see how they stack up. He will then look at the merit of adding various regime filters and alternative market measures, with the goal of building a consistently profitable system. Using a quantitative approach throughout, he will deliver some practical take-aways that can be implemented in your own trading environment.


150515_2015 Conference - Clement, Alan

IFTA Webinar Presentations from 2015
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November - IFTA Webinar Series / Dr. Howard Bandy - Monte-Carlo Techniques: Application to Trading
November - IFTA Webinar Series / Dr. Howard Bandy - Monte-Carlo Techniques: Application to Trading

Speaker: Dr. Howard Bandy

Topic: Monte-Carlo Techniques: Application to Trading

Defining and managing the use of Monte-Carlo Techniques in the development and analysis of a Trading System. (IFTA Webinar Series)


1511_IFTA - Bandy, Howard

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September - IFTA Webinar Series / Dr. Howard Bandy - Machine Learning Trading System Development
September - IFTA Webinar Series / Dr. Howard Bandy - Machine Learning Trading System Development

Speaker: Dr. Howard Bandy

Topic: Machine Learning Trading System Development

A detailed guide to the development of trading systems using machine learning. (IFTA Webinar Series)


1509_IFTA - Bandy, Howard

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August - IFTA Webinar Series / Dr. Howard Bandy - Indicator Based Trading System Development
August - IFTA Webinar Series / Dr. Howard Bandy - Indicator Based Trading System Development

Speaker: Dr. Howard Bandy

Topic: Indicator Based Trading System Development

A detailed guide to the development of indicator based trading systems. (IFTA Webinar Series)


1508_IFTA - Bandy, Howard

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July - IFTA Webinar Series / Dr. Howard Bandy - The Four Faces of Risk
July - IFTA Webinar Series / Dr. Howard Bandy - The Four Faces of Risk

Speaker: Dr. Howard Bandy

Topic: The Four Faces of Risk

Defining and managing risk in trading system development and trading management. (IFTA Webinar Series)


1507_IFTA - Bandy, Howard

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March - IFTA Webinar Series / Dr. Howard Bandy - The Importance of Being Stationary
March - IFTA Webinar Series / Dr. Howard Bandy - The Importance of Being Stationary

Speaker: Dr. Howard Bandy

Topic: The Importance of Being Stationary

A presentation about trading systems development delivered to the Seattle Market Technician's Association.


1503_IFTA - Bandy, Howard

Chapter Presentations from 2015
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May - Sydney Chapter Meeting / Johnathan Barratt
May - Sydney Chapter Meeting / Johnathan Barratt

Speaker: Johnathan Barratt

Topic: Gold and Commodities, What's Happening - 2015?

Johnathan reviews the state of the Gold and Commodities Market.


1505_Sydney - Barratt, Johnathan

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March - Sydney Chapter Meeting / Jim Berg & Van Tharp
March - Sydney Chapter Meeting / Jim Berg & Van Tharp

Speaker: Jim Berg

Topic: Trade and Invest With Weight of Evidence


1503_Sydney - Berg, Jim



Speaker: Van Tharp

Topic: Position Sizing R Multiples and Psychology


1502_Sydney - Tharp, Van

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January - Sydney Chapter Meeting / Tahir Omeri & Gary Burton
January - Sydney Chapter Meeting / Tahir Omeri & Gary Burton

Speaker: Tahir Omeri

Topic: Act and Grow Rich the Scientific Way

Tahir Omeri has been a self-directed active investor in Australian shares and exchange traded options since the year of the Sydney Olympics. He started with extensively studying both Fundamental and Technical analysis (classical charting and numeric indicators such as moving averages). Tahir Omeri then reviewed the works of much acclaimed masters like Gann, Elliott and Grahame and also critically assessed the teachings of highly regarded contemporary authors and software peddlers. He found them all to lack sufficient “scientific rigour” to be of much benefit to the would-be successful ordinary investors and traders alike.


1501_Sydney - Omeri, Tahir



Speaker: Gary Burton

Topic: Pivot Point Trading


1501_Sydney - Burton, Gary

Document Resources from 2015
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Paul Ash - Core Trading with Chart and Candle Patterns
Paul Ash - Core Trading with Chart and Candle Patterns

Paul will demonstrate a simple chart pattern that along with Candle analysis can be demonstrated to be a powerful investment tool that doesn’t require hours of chart study.


Core Trading with Chart and Candle Patterns - Paul Ash

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Alan Clement - ETF Basket Rotational System
Alan Clement - ETF Basket Rotational System

One of the challenges we have as traders or investors is to be able to move in and out of markets as they wax and wane to capitalise on the bull runs, whilst avoiding the bear markets. Alan will look at a simple method for rotating in and out of a basket of ETFs which reduces risk and enhances return. The presentation will show how a basic set of rules can be adjusted and optimised to result in a system with a real edge and manageable downside. The system rules will be fully exposed for you to take away and try.


ETF Basket Rotational System - Alan Clement

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Alan Clement - Andrews Pitchfork
Alan Clement - Andrews Pitchfork

In the second part of his talk, Alan will focus on the use of Andrews Pitchforks in determining support, resistance and price targets. He will also discuss the use of multiple pitchforks on the same chart. This will be an interactive session, where we will look at the application of Pitchforks on your favourite markets, so come armed with a stock, commodity or currency for us to evaluate.


Andrews Pitchfork - Alan Clement

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Jordan Eliseo - Gold And Silver
Jordan Eliseo - Gold And Silver

Jordan will take us through his analysis process, what technical analysis theories he uses to assist him to find the direction of Gold and Silver.


Gold And Silver - Jordan Eliseo

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Tony Gangemi - Technical Analysis
Tony Gangemi - Technical Analysis

Tony will take us through Thomson Reuters premium desktop offering, Eikon. He will show some of its key features and functionality. He will go though some charting techniques he uses, including Relative Rotation Graphs, Pivot charts, and the combining of two commonly used studies, RSI and Bollinger Bands. Also a pattern technique based on Harmonic patterns. To finish off Tony will showcase the Metastock Professional and what it can provide to a user, highlighting some key features inc the new Forecaster.


Technical Analysis - Tony Gangemi

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Gary Glover - Trend and Volume
Gary Glover - Trend and Volume

Gary Glover will take us through his trading process, what technical analysis theories he uses to assist him in making his trading decisions.


Trend and Volume - Gary Glover

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Robert Grigg - The Future of Technical Analysis perhaps?
Robert Grigg - The Future of Technical Analysis perhaps?

Presented at IFTA 2015 Tokyo. Where do quantitative methods fit in the technical analysis landscape? Quantitative methods need facility with computing, computational processes, probability theory, statistics and machine learning. In skilled hands, technical analysis and quantitative methods can build excellent trading systems. The quantitative process allows testing and establishing the risk and reward profile before commitment. Ongoing checks can then track the "health" of a system so it can be "tuned" to the market over time. The process aims to use the "scientific method", allowing evidence based decisions. Should we ignore its growing popularity?


The Future of Technical Analysis perhaps? - Robert Grigg

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Jeremy Kidner - Small Portfolio Performance
Jeremy Kidner - Small Portfolio Performance

Jeremy will look at on the issue of performance in small portfolios.


Small Portfolio Performance - Jeremy Kidner

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Mary McNamara - The NASDAQ and its Stocks
Mary McNamara - The NASDAQ and its Stocks

Mary trades Forex off 4 hr charts and Stocks/Options/ETFs off daily charts and has a real passion for technical analysis. She is a relative newcomer to the markets as she has only been trading since 2007. During that time she has traded following systems and signals offered by external providers but, now, trades using her own trade entry system. Mary documents her analysis and trades in an on-line trading blog at TradeCharting.com.


The NASDAQ and its Stocks - Mary McNamara

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Darryl Nagel - Trading Through an SMSF
Darryl Nagel - Trading Through an SMSF

In this presentation Daryl will cover the following topics,

- The structure of a SMSF

- The 3 main requirements to enable a SMSF to trade.

- The obligations of Trustees

- The new penalty regime

- Taxation aspects

- Can an SMSF conduct a business?

- Possible changes to Limited Recourse Borrowing Arrangement


Trading Through an SMSF - Darryl Nagel

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Colin Nicholson - Investing with a Margin of Safety
Colin Nicholson - Investing with a Margin of Safety

No matter how sound our analysis, the key to investing in the stock market is to manage risk. This could be even more important than usual in the currently uncertain world. Colin will outline the risk management strategies that he has successfully employed over 50 years of investing in the stock market. He will illustrate his method with a current case.


Investing with a Margin of Safety - Colin Nicholson

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Colin Nicholson - Peering Into the Crystal Ball
Colin Nicholson - Peering Into the Crystal Ball

Colin has long maintained that it is not possible to accurately and consistently predict the future. A better approach is to assess the condition of the market and to devise an appropriate strategy. In this talk, Colin will take you through his analysis of where we are in the bull market cycle. He will then suggest where we might be headed in 2015 and beyond and what his strategy is. No matter how sound our analysis, the key to investing in the stock market is to manage risk. This could be even more important than usual in the current increasingly uncertain world. Colin will outline the risk management strategies that he has successfully employed over 50 years of investing in the stock market.


Peering Into the Crystal Ball - Colin Nicholson

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Simon Russell - Behavioural Finance for Investors
Simon Russell - Behavioural Finance for Investors

Behavioural finance applies insights from the psychology of how we think and make decisions. In doing so it can help us better understand our investment choices and market movements. In this session, Simon will provide a glimpse into how subconscious processes in the brain can have significant implications for what we buy and sell, and the returns we ultimately achieve. He will also discuss a number of tips to help overcome some of these effects.


Behavioural Finance for Investors - Simon Russell